description: Weather markets on Polymarket have become one of the hottest and most consistent money-making niches. Here are the top 7 traders who are quietly printing serious profits on daily temperature markets.
Weather markets on Polymarket have become one of the hottest and most consistent money-making niches right now.
While everyone else trades politics and crypto, a growing number of sharp traders are quietly printing profits on real daily highest temperatures in cities around the world.
These markets happen very often, are completely data-driven, and are full of pricing mistakes. They're perfect for anyone who knows how to read the numbers and turn them into profit.
After reviewing dozens of trader profiles, here’s my personal Top 7 ranking of the most profitable weather traders on Polymarket. I ranked them based on real PnL, consistency, and unique strategies.
#7: Maskache2 — Weather Trader Who Turned $300 Into $34,000 Profit
Maskache2 has turned this niche into a highly profitable strategy. He specializes almost exclusively in daily highest temperature markets, with a strong focus on cities like Seoul, Hong Kong, Wellington, and New York.
His approach is built on careful analysis of historical data, current forecasts, and spotting mispriced temperature thresholds. Even with a 33.5% win rate, he consistently generates strong returns by betting selectively and scaling into high-conviction setups.
Key All-Time Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PnL | +$34,106 |
| Total Gains | +$108,177 |
| Total Losses | -$74,071 |
| Win Rate | 33.5% |
| Biggest Single Win | $7,638 |
| Total Predictions | 1,941 |
Strongest Winning Trades
- Seoul highest temp 7°C on March 9 — Invested $4,138 → Payout $11,777 → +$7,639 (+184.6%) (record single win)
- Seoul highest temp 12°C on February 28 — Invested $2,545 → Payout $7,207 → +$4,662 (+183.2%)
- Seoul highest temp 9°C on March 19 — Invested $443 → Payout $4,359 → +$3,916 (+885%)
- Hong Kong highest temp 26°C on March 24 — Invested $667 → Payout $3,961 → +$3,294 (+494%)
- Seoul highest temp 11°C or higher on February 14 — Invested $1,325 → Payout $4,575 → +$3,250 (+245%)
View Maskache2's Profile on Polymarket
#6: russell110320 — Global Temperature Trader Who Turned -$22k Into +$43k Profit
russell110320 operates on a much broader scale. He focuses on global temperature and climate record markets — monthly global temperature increases, specific anomaly ranges, and “hottest on record” outcomes.
Key All-Time Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PnL | +$43,936 |
| Total Gains | +$112,437 |
| Total Losses | -$68,501 |
| Win Rate | 64.3% |
| Biggest Single Win | $10,300 |
| Total Predictions | 150 |
Strongest Winning Trades
- February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? — Invested $32,475 → +$10,283
- Global temperature increase 1.05–1.09°C — Invested $19,911 → +$8,418
- Global temperature increase 1.20–1.24°C — Invested $2,523 → +$8,319 (+329.7%)
View russell110320's Profile on Polymarket
#5: HondaCivic — Perfect Weather Trader Who Turned $1 Into $55,000 Profit
HondaCivic is a true specialist in city-specific daily highest temperature markets (Hong Kong, New York, London, Buenos Aires, Seoul). His standout skill is entering positions at extremely low prices.
Key All-Time Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PnL | +$55,408 |
| Total Gains | +$71,885 |
| Total Losses | -$16,478 |
| Win Rate | 84.2% |
| Biggest Single Win | $15,000 |
| Total Predictions | 3,828 |
Strongest Winning Trades
- Hong Kong highest temp 15°C or below — Invested $37 → Payout $15,182 → +$15,144 (+40,511%) (insane record win)
- New York City between 56-57°F — Invested $580 → +$1,690
- London highest temp 12°C on February 20 — Invested $3,675 → +$1,662
View HondaCivic's Profile on Polymarket
#4: HenryTheAtmoPhD — Weather Professor Who Turned $1,500 Into $55,000
What makes HenryTheAtmoPhD unique is his background: a retired professor of atmospheric science. He applies real academic expertise and meteorological principles to city-specific temperature markets.
Key All-Time Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PnL | +$55,838 |
| Total Gains | +$99,248 |
| Total Losses | -$43,409 |
| Win Rate | 36.5% |
| Biggest Single Win | $4,944 |
| Total Predictions | 3,472 |
Strongest Winning Trades
- Seoul highest temp 11°C on February 22 — Invested $518 → +$4,944 (+954.6%)
- New York City between 38-39°F — Invested $193 → +$3,601 (+1,864.6%)
- London between 52-53°F on December — Invested $116 → +$2,786 (+2,387%)
View HenryTheAtmoPhD's Profile on Polymarket
#3: BeefSlayer — Sniper Weather Trader Who Turned $170 Into $62,000 Profit
BeefSlayer has mastered spotting when the crowd is wrong. He specializes in city-specific daily highest temperature markets across the US and has an incredible ability to buy outcomes at extremely low prices.
Key All-Time Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PnL | +$62,064 |
| Total Gains | +$73,218 |
| Total Losses | -$11,154 |
| Win Rate | 68.2% |
| Biggest Single Win | $4,103 |
| Total Predictions | 1,585 |
Strongest Winning Trades
- Seattle between 52-53°F on March 4 — Invested $536 → +$4,103 (+765%)
- Atlanta between 38-39°F on January — Invested $6 → +$2,984 (+49,745%) (one of the most extreme low-entry wins)
- New York City between 34-35°F — Invested $40 → +$1,831 (+4,579%)
View BeefSlayer's Profile on Polymarket
#2: VibeTrader — Incredible Weather Trader Who Turned $3,000 Into $132,000 Profit
VibeTrader is one of the most versatile and high-performing traders on the platform. The majority of his activity is in city-specific temperature markets, while also crushing other niches (including massive wins on Elon Musk tweet count markets).
Key All-Time Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PnL | +$132,854 |
| Total Gains | +$328,438 |
| Total Losses | -$195,583 |
| Win Rate | 37.7% |
| Biggest Single Win | $21,300 |
| Total Predictions | 5,114 |
Strongest Winning Trades
- New York City between 43-44°F — Invested $307 → +$8,279 (+2,689%)
- Miami between 80-81°F on March 23 — Invested $110 → +$4,025 (+36,682%)
- New York City 65°F or higher on October — Invested $84 → +$3,934 (+4,684%)
View VibeTrader's Profile on Polymarket
#1: ColdMath — Weather Trader Bot Who Turned $2,000 Into $124,000 Profit
The clear #1 in my ranking.
ColdMath doesn’t trade manually. He runs a highly sophisticated automated trading bot built on Clawdbot (a Claude-powered AI agent framework). The bot scans real-time weather data from multiple sources 24/7, compares it against market prices, and executes trades with machine-like precision — often buying at 0.01¢–0.02¢ when it detects even tiny mispricings.
Key All-Time Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PnL | +$124,896 |
| Total Gains | +$156,701 |
| Total Losses | -$31,805 |
| Win Rate | 81.7% |
| Biggest Single Win | $12,400 |
| Total Predictions | 6,575 |
Strongest Winning Trades
- Tokyo highest temp 16°C on March 20 — Invested $25 → +$12,427 (+48,910%)
- Chicago 54°F or higher on March 11 — Invested $24 → +$12,373 (+49,733%)
- Tokyo highest temp 15°C on March 20 — Invested $16 → +$8,090 (+48,843%)
This bot-driven approach is a true masterclass in modern prediction market trading.
View ColdMath's Profile on Polymarket
Final Thoughts
Weather trading has become one of the hottest and fastest-growing niches on Polymarket. These markets are data-driven, frequent, and offer excellent risk-reward for those who can spot mispricings.
From manual precision and scientific expertise to sophisticated bot-driven automation, the traders in this ranking show completely different paths to success. What unites them is discipline, deep market understanding, and finding edge where others don’t see it.
Who is your favorite trader from this list? Drop it in the comments.
If you’re not on Polymarket yet, now is a great time to check out the weather markets.
Pro tip: For the best analytics and to see exactly what these traders are doing in real time, I recommend using Parity (the best terminal for Polymarket).
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